Preview

Izvestiya TINRO

Advanced search

Synoptic prerequisites and scenarios for forming the extreme ice‑rich and low‑ice winters in the Okhotsk Sea

https://doi.org/10.26428/1606-9919-2026-206-348-364

EDN: SZTJYK

Abstract

The ice cover dynamics in the Okhotsk Sea since 1970s is analyzed and synoptic atmospheric conditions for ice-rich and low-ice periods are determined. These periods were distinguished by combination of certain synoptic patterns from October to March. The extremely vast ice cover was observed in 1977–1983 and 1998–2003 when the winter centers of atmospheric action were active, the Aleutian Low located in the extreme eastern position, the ridge of Siberian High extended far north, the air pressure gradient over the Okhotsk Sea was high, and cyclonic activity over the sea was weak. As the result, cold Arctic air invaded to the Okhotsk Sea and contributed to rapid forming the sea ice. Typical prerequisite of this process was a vast cold zone of high pressure at high latitudes promoted early transition of the barometric pressure field to winter patterns in early September. In the winters with moderate ice cover, the atmospheric centers were less active and the tracks of cyclones were directed mainly to the western Bering Sea that provided transfer of rather warm air masses from Bering Sea to the Okhotsk Sea. Under these conditions, winter monsoon began in late September. The periods of low-ice winters in 1989–1997 and 2004–2015 were distinguished by low activity of the Siberian High and Aleutian Low with westward shift of the latter and abnormally high frequency of cyclones passed over the Okhotsk Sea and induced warm air advection. In this case the winter monsoon formed in 10–20 days later, in October. Such conditions were proceeded by lowered atmospheric pressure in the polar zone.

About the Authors

S. Yu. Glebova
Pacific Branch of VNIRO (TINRO)
Russian Federation

Svetlana Yu. Glebova, leading researcher

4, Shevchenko Alley, Vladivostok, 690091

 



L. S. Muktepavel
Pacific Branch of VNIRO (TINRO)
Russian Federation

Larisa S. Muktepavel, leading researcher

4, Shevchenko Alley, Vladivostok, 690091



References

1. Anzhina, G.I. and Vrazhkin, A.N., Studying changes in climate normal in long-term forecasting of the Sea of Okhotsk ice cover, Gidrometeorologicheskiye issledovaniya i prognozy, 2021, no. 3(381), pp. 99–114. doi 10.37162/2618-9631-2021-3-99-114. EDN: JVPARR

2. Girs, A.A. and Kondratovich, K.V., Metody dolgosrochnykh prognozov pogody (Methods of Long-Term Weather Forecasts), Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat, 1978.

3. Glebova, S.Yu., Study of atmospheric circulation in the Far Eastern region on the nature of ice cover changes in the Okhotsk and Bering Seas, Meteorology and Hydrology, 2006, no. 12, pp. 54–60. EDN: KUHLZB

4. Glebova, S.Yu., Winter cyclogenesis over the ocean as a factor of subsequent changes in the atmospheric and thermal regime of the Far-Eastern Seas and North-West Pacific (with one year lag), Izv. Tikhookean. Nauchno-Issled. Inst. Rybn. Khoz. Okeanogr., 2012, vol. 170, pp. 136–150. EDN: PDQWMB

5. Glebova, S.Yu., Cyclones over the Pacific Ocean and Far-Eastern Seas in cold and warm seasons and their influence on wind and thermal regime in the last two decade period, Izv. Tikhookean. Nauchno-Issled. Inst. Rybn. Khoz. Okeanogr., 2018, vol. 193, pp. 153–166. doi 10.26428/1606-9919-2018-193-153-166. EDN: XWBMQH

6. Glebova, S.Yu., Ustinova, E.I., and Sorokin, Yu.D., Long-term tendencies of atmospheric processes and thermal regime in the Far-Eastern Seas of Russia in the last three decades, Izv. Tikhookean. Nauchno-Issled. Inst. Rybn. Khoz. Okeanogr., 2009, vol. 159, pp. 285–298. EDN: MNJQYP

7. Kunitsyn, A.V., On the quantitative characteristics of cyclonic activity, Meteorol. Gidrol., 1956, no. 6, pp. 29–30.

8. Mezentseva, L.I. and Fedulova, A.S., Climatic trends of atmospheric circulation in the Far East, Izv. KSTU, 2017, no. 46, pp. 175–183. EDN: WPCCJY

9. Muktepavel, L.S., Spatio-temporal variability of ice conditions in the Sea of Okhotsk based on remote sensing data, Extended Abstract of Cand. Sci. (Geogr.) Dissertation, Vladivostok, 2007.

10. Muktepavel, L.S., Regional features of ice cover in the West Kamchatka fishing subzone with considering nof the thermobaric conditions (according to the satellite data), Tr. Vses. Nauchno-Issled. Inst. Rybn. Khoz. Okeanogr., 2020, vol. 180, pp. 128–139. doi 10.36038/2307-3497-2020-180-128-139. EDN: NMYHTW

11. Muktepavel, L.S. and Shatilina, T.A., Some patterns of formation of extremely low-ice winters in the Sea of Okhotsk, Sovrem. Probl. Distantsionnogo Zondirovaniya Zemli Kosmosa, 2009, vol. 6, no. 1, pp. 429–441. EDN: NDPXJL

12. Pishchalnik, V.M., Romanyuk, V.A., Minervin, I.G., and Batuhtina, A.S., Analysis of dynamics for anomalies of the ice cover in the Okhotsk Sea in the period from 1882 to 2015, Izv. Tikhookean. Nauchno-Issled. Inst. Rybn. Khoz. Okeanogr., 2016, vol. 185, pp. 228–239, doi 10.26428/1606-9919-2016-185-228-239. EDN: WCAHXP

13. Plotnikov, V.V., Izmenchivost’ ledovykh uslovii dal’nevostochnykh morei Rossii i ikh prognoz (Variability of Ice Conditions in the Far Eastern Seas of Russia and Prediction of Them), Vladivostok: Dal’nauka, 2002.

14. Polyakova, A.M., On superlong-term forecasts of the Far East seas ice extent, Vestn. Dal’nevost. Otd. Ross. Akad. Nauk, 2012, no. 6, pp. 3–12. EDN: PWZGHJ

15. Khen, G.V., Basyuk, E.O., Ustinova, E.I., and Figurkin, A.L., Variability and current state of the climate of the Far Eastern seas, in Mater. Vseross. nauchn. konf. posvyashch. 80-letnemu yubileyu FGUP “KamchatNIRO” “Vodnye biologicheskie resursy severnoi chasti Tikhogo okeana: sostoyanie, monitoring, upravlenie” (Proc. All–Russ. Sci. Conf. Commem. 80th Aniv. FGUP KamchatNIRO “Aquatic Biological Resources of the Northern Pacific Ocean: Status, Monitoring, and Management”), Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky: KamchatNIRO, 2012, pp. 498–508. EDN: QXMHZS

16. Shatilina, T.A. and Anzhina, G.I., Features of atmospheric circulation and climate in the Far East in the beginning of 21 century, Izv. Tikhookean. Nauchno-Issled. Inst. Rybn. Khoz. Okeanogr., 2008, vol. 152, pp. 225–239. EDN: JVUIFB

17. Shatilina, T.A., Tsitsiashvili, G.Sh., and Radchenkova, T.V., Estimating the trends and variability of atmospheric action centers over the Asian-Pacific region in summer in 1950–1979 and 1980–2012, Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol., 2016, vol. 41, no. 1, pp. 10–18. doi 10.3103/S1068373916010027. EDN: WQFBEV

18. Shumilov, I.V., Minervin, I.G., Pishchalnik, V.M., and Romanyuk, V.A., Experimental model of intraseasonal vari ability of ice area in the Sea of Okhotsk, Geosistemy perehod nykh zon. Geosystems of Transition Zones, 2024, vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 114–126. doi 10.30730/gtrz.2024.8.2.114-126. EDN: VJIVYC

19. Shumilov, I.V., Pishchalnik, V.M., Romanyuk, V.A., and Nikulina, I.V., Cyclonic activity influence on the ice regime of the Sea of Okhotsk in the autumn-winter period, Journal of Oceanological Research, 2025, vol. 53, no. 4, pp. 98–114. doi 10.29006/1564-2291.JOR-2025.53(4).6. EDN: CCTPFV


Review

For citations:


Glebova S.Yu., Muktepavel L.S. Synoptic prerequisites and scenarios for forming the extreme ice‑rich and low‑ice winters in the Okhotsk Sea. Izvestiya TINRO. 2026;206(2):348-364. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26428/1606-9919-2026-206-348-364. EDN: SZTJYK

Views: 32

JATS XML


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 1606-9919 (Print)
ISSN 2658-5510 (Online)